If your premise is: 'playing the hardest matches in the tournament and not spending diamonds' then 60% is definitely wrong. The Silver league is the top 5% so without spending diamonds it is definitely not a 60% chance to get into the Silver league.
Wrong or not,I always finished the events with max level buldings in "live servers".. Maybe I'm among the players luck circle's?
Lets start with the 5 events of this year
-Forge bowl:in this event I used only 300 diamond to have a great advantage with the "ultimate coach"to win 30 colossus kits in both live server worlds using always the players with low price of drinks
Yes,here I used a small pack of diamonds and I think also you have done;Olympic treasure completely max level,2/3 extra upgrade and a difference of drinks gained by incidents in both world to reach in primary just below the gold league while in the secondary just above the gold..Probably the reason of this it's just the missing of players that spending a lots of diamonds
-The hated St.Patrick day:
Here you had a chance to get also 11 pieces(time required) or even 12 pieces without diamonds(time and luck required) but if you knew the event perfectly!!But for me I was limited to get 10 pieces because I hadn't got the time to see this difficult path...It did it a my friend
Incidents this time are only a bonus not a requirement...
I done only 5 stages with tasks done respectively 34,34,32,38 and 38,spending 3450 pots of managers and the rest(7600) to chests..You gained by tasks and daily bonus 11200 pots and the total costs done are 10050..So I had an extra 150 pots available
What are 5 stages with a time of 3 weeks to complete it??It's a sorcery?? ahahahah
I got 10 pieces in primary world and 11 pieces in the secondary in live server only because I got 2k pots of gold by incidents
-Spring event:
I have an extra upgrade of hanami bridge in live servers...How?I done 9 ponds and reached the silver league..How I reach 9 ponds?Using 75% of silver animals and 25% gold animals but I got enough lanterns from incidents to reach 9 ponds
Yes,we return at start and you may have asked :if you didn't got the missing lanterns by incidents?or if you didn't reach the silver league? Yes you can compare it with unlucky and this Inno like it...
-Archaeology event
I do not explain this event..all we know how it went....
-Sorcerer cup
I repeat and confirm that here the luck is the base to win in both ways and for me this leagues are so: gold league is only up to 5% of players of each world;silver league is up to 20% of players;40% of players in bronze league;20% in amateur league and 15% hobby(they are the absent players)
This factor is considered only if the gold league players didn't spending a lots of diamonds(+10000)
Even if he plays the 93 free tickets of the event in hard matches even though he wins all that is impossible, there is still no guarantee that he will end up in the gold or silver league. This depends on how many "full cash" players you have on the server you are playing on.
You put those 93 tickets in the same plan?The facts are this:many players prefer choise the easy-medium way than the -medium-hard and you have confirmed it reply here
Now I comparate it:
46 easy(50%) and 47 medium(50%) are gain beetwen 15 up to 50 points
14 medium(15%) and 79 hard (85%) are gain beetween 30 up to 160 points
I suppose that:
you mean that easy wins is the 80% and the medium is 60%
So, there are 37 wins in easy and 28 medium difficulty match
37 easy wins are comparate between 15 and 17;the medium is 16,I suppose; 37x16 = 592 points ;
28 medium wins are comparate between 30 and 50 points;the medium is 40; 40x28 = 1120 points
Adding them up is 1120 + 592 = 1712 points
medium-hard comparate
I mean that medium wins is 60% and hard is 40%(why 40%? because the max chance to get victory is 50% and the lower 30%)
There are 8 medium and 32 hard victories
8 medium wins are comparate between 30 and 50 ;the medium is 40; 40x8 = 320 points ;
32 hard wins are comparate between 110 and 160 points;the medium is 135 ; 135x32 = 4320 points
Adding them up is 320 + 4320 = 4640 points
There are a lot of defference of point between both ways
here the first champion had 21k points in few days after the changed for what?spending arround +20k diamonds in all durate of the event..are you agrre with this?
And yet, here we are. I find anomaly with your statement considering that the Silver league percentage is slightly smaller than the Bronze league by having about the top 5% whereas Gold has the top 1% of the server. I'm sorry but I will have to agree with others in saying there is no possibility of reaching either of the two highest tiers without the following happening: A. Spending enough to reach there, B. Not enough players spending (why spend on a beta game anyways?) and you just made the cut, or C. Not enough players participating and you're just lucky. If you fall within reasons B or C then I commend you on it.
I like your thinking and partialy I agree but there's a think you didn't know(?) : knowledge and luck go hand to hand