Yes. That's that.
Basically, for this event, I personally COMPLETELY IGNORE what does any of the cakes offer. I bake according to the ingredience required, so I have always the same amount of each, depleting them equally. It is the only way. If you focus on what you "want" from the cakes, then you can say bye bye to the maxed out building. It is either or.
Well I mean there's a little room for flexibility. For each ingredient you can keep in mind what you would like to spend it on, and what other things you should strongly consider buying if you start having too much of it.
i.e. my overall plan for balancing the goods while chasing specials:
Prize# | Specials | Apples | Pumpkin | Chocolate | Cinnamon | Caramel | Special % | Other Stuff | Overall Efficiency | Expected Frequency |
1 | Snickerdoodles | | | | 1 | | 10% | Units | 10.0% | 20.00% |
2 | Chocolate Chip Cookies | | | 1 | | | 10% | Medals | 10.0% | 17.14% |
3 | Pumpkin Spice Cookies | | 1 | | | | 8% | Goods | 8.0% | 14.51% |
4 | Apple Jam | 1 | | | | | 6% | FP | 6.0% | 12.09% |
5 | Caramel Bites | | | | | 1 | 7% | Fragments | 7.0% | 9.89% |
6 | Pumpkin Caramel Cheese Cake | | 1 | | | 1 | 14% | C/S Boosts | 7.0% | 7.91% |
7 | Chocolate Fudge Brownies | | | 1 | | 1 | 10% | Blueprints | 5.0% | 6.15% |
8 | Apple Pie | 2 | | | 1 | | 15% | Medals | 5.0% | 4.62% |
9 | Pumpkin Apple Muffins | 1 | 1 | | | | 13% | Buildings | 6.5% | 3.30% |
10 | Caramel Apple | 1 | | | | 1 | 12% | Sp Units | 6.0% | 2.20% |
11 | Chocolate Cake | | | 2 | | 1 | 14% | Supply Rush | 4.7% | 1.32% |
12 | Pumpkin Pie | | 2 | | 1 | | 14% | FP | 4.7% | 0.66% |
13 | Pumpkin Apple Cobbler | 1 | 1 | | 1 | | 15% | Goods | 5.0% | 0.22% |
14 | Chocolate Cinnamon Bread | | | 1 | 1 | | 8% | Att Boosts | 4.0% | 0.00% |
15 | Chocolate Caramel Cinnamon Rolls | | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10% | Items | 3.3% | 0.00% |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Goods Used | | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 9.71% | | 7.3% | |
Mostly it's sorted by efficiency, but some things had to move higher to balance it out. And because of randomness this still isn't locked in stone or anything - if I notice something's way ahead of the others I have to keep in mind what the best options are to use more of it up.